{
  "name": "audit.domains out-of-sample predictions",
  "description": "Every domain in the published held-out slice, with what it sold for, what the deterministic model estimated with that sale withheld from its evidence, and the gap between the two.",
  "url": "https://audit.domains/accuracy/residuals.json",
  "page": "https://audit.domains/predictions/",
  "license": "https://audit.domains/terms/",
  "citation": "audit.domains out-of-sample predictions, Recent sales slice (n=218), methodology revision 4.14, evaluated 2026-09-30. Each estimate was produced with that domain's own sale withheld. Quote a row with its basis, and the table with its n.",
  "basis": "sales reported by DNJournal and Sedo, kept out of the corpus the engine draws its evidence from",
  "sliceKey": "recent",
  "estimator": "champion (rev 4.13, generalization)",
  "predictKey": "rev43-self-excluded",
  "frozenTestSha256": "5866aaffbc4e957a5fa9c2514587ff6bd9544ee0be2b6d78edd39a41ed5d6a7d",
  "evaluationDate": "2026-09-30T03:45:04.578Z",
  "methodologyRev": "4.14",
  "metrics": {
    "n": 218,
    "within2": 29.36,
    "within3": 39.91,
    "medianApe": 85.1,
    "medianRatio": 0.25,
    "medianFactorError": 5.01
  },
  "guidance": [
    "Every estimate here was made with that domain's own recorded sale withheld from the engine's evidence.",
    "A /domain page for the same name is a separate appraisal with its own date and basis; do not read the two figures as one measurement.",
    "Quote the table with its sample size; it is one slice of a published error distribution, not an accuracy percentage."
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "domain": "v0.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 2000,
      "estimateUsd": 32700,
      "residualUsd": 30700,
      "ratio": 16.35
    },
    {
      "domain": "qrod.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 4000,
      "estimateUsd": 48000,
      "residualUsd": 44000,
      "ratio": 12
    },
    {
      "domain": "irip.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 3800,
      "estimateUsd": 38600,
      "residualUsd": 34800,
      "ratio": 10.1579
    },
    {
      "domain": "jru.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 17000,
      "estimateUsd": 126000,
      "residualUsd": 109000,
      "ratio": 7.4118
    },
    {
      "domain": "2live.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 3500,
      "estimateUsd": 18000,
      "residualUsd": 14500,
      "ratio": 5.1429
    },
    {
      "domain": "ana.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 7000,
      "estimateUsd": 34600,
      "residualUsd": 27600,
      "ratio": 4.9429
    },
    {
      "domain": "brin.co",
      "tld": "co",
      "actualUsd": 3050,
      "estimateUsd": 14200,
      "residualUsd": 11150,
      "ratio": 4.6557
    },
    {
      "domain": "childbirth.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 6000,
      "estimateUsd": 25000,
      "residualUsd": 19000,
      "ratio": 4.1667
    },
    {
      "domain": "oad.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 15000,
      "estimateUsd": 48800,
      "residualUsd": 33800,
      "ratio": 3.2533
    },
    {
      "domain": "i22.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 10000,
      "estimateUsd": 32000,
      "residualUsd": 22000,
      "ratio": 3.2
    },
    {
      "domain": "poetry.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 6200,
      "estimateUsd": 17900,
      "residualUsd": 11700,
      "ratio": 2.8871
    },
    {
      "domain": "castfast.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9995,
      "estimateUsd": 24600,
      "residualUsd": 14605,
      "ratio": 2.4612
    },
    {
      "domain": "cidg.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 7500,
      "estimateUsd": 17600,
      "residualUsd": 10100,
      "ratio": 2.3467
    },
    {
      "domain": "nar.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 41000,
      "estimateUsd": 94800,
      "residualUsd": 53800,
      "ratio": 2.3122
    },
    {
      "domain": "iru.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 48000,
      "estimateUsd": 110000,
      "residualUsd": 62000,
      "ratio": 2.2917
    },
    {
      "domain": "tucan.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 13550,
      "estimateUsd": 30700,
      "residualUsd": 17150,
      "ratio": 2.2657
    },
    {
      "domain": "atwm.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9500,
      "estimateUsd": 20800,
      "residualUsd": 11300,
      "ratio": 2.1895
    },
    {
      "domain": "miley.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 19000,
      "estimateUsd": 39700,
      "residualUsd": 20700,
      "ratio": 2.0895
    },
    {
      "domain": "wase.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 11500,
      "estimateUsd": 22800,
      "residualUsd": 11300,
      "ratio": 1.9826
    },
    {
      "domain": "blop.xyz",
      "tld": "xyz",
      "actualUsd": 5208,
      "estimateUsd": 10300,
      "residualUsd": 5092,
      "ratio": 1.9777
    },
    {
      "domain": "mini.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 117000,
      "estimateUsd": 228000,
      "residualUsd": 111000,
      "ratio": 1.9487
    },
    {
      "domain": "noppa.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 7500,
      "estimateUsd": 14600,
      "residualUsd": 7100,
      "ratio": 1.9467
    },
    {
      "domain": "ai.hr",
      "tld": "hr",
      "actualUsd": 6000,
      "estimateUsd": 10500,
      "residualUsd": 4500,
      "ratio": 1.75
    },
    {
      "domain": "edus.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 7100,
      "estimateUsd": 12400,
      "residualUsd": 5300,
      "ratio": 1.7465
    },
    {
      "domain": "blooket.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 2889,
      "estimateUsd": 4730,
      "residualUsd": 1841,
      "ratio": 1.6372
    },
    {
      "domain": "methal.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9000,
      "estimateUsd": 14500,
      "residualUsd": 5500,
      "ratio": 1.6111
    },
    {
      "domain": "thelawyers.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 5500,
      "estimateUsd": 8720,
      "residualUsd": 3220,
      "ratio": 1.5855
    },
    {
      "domain": "nixbet.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9995,
      "estimateUsd": 15500,
      "residualUsd": 5505,
      "ratio": 1.5508
    },
    {
      "domain": "getcopy.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 6000,
      "estimateUsd": 9220,
      "residualUsd": 3220,
      "ratio": 1.5367
    },
    {
      "domain": "lionova.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 3570,
      "estimateUsd": 5440,
      "residualUsd": 1870,
      "ratio": 1.5238
    },
    {
      "domain": "freewins.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 17500,
      "estimateUsd": 26200,
      "residualUsd": 8700,
      "ratio": 1.4971
    },
    {
      "domain": "kronus.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 5988,
      "estimateUsd": 8690,
      "residualUsd": 2702,
      "ratio": 1.4512
    },
    {
      "domain": "radianthealthcare.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 7499,
      "estimateUsd": 10600,
      "residualUsd": 3101,
      "ratio": 1.4135
    },
    {
      "domain": "zh.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 1000000,
      "estimateUsd": 1400000,
      "residualUsd": 400000,
      "ratio": 1.4
    },
    {
      "domain": "advocap.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 6999,
      "estimateUsd": 9220,
      "residualUsd": 2221,
      "ratio": 1.3173
    },
    {
      "domain": "shop.net",
      "tld": "net",
      "actualUsd": 51050,
      "estimateUsd": 67000,
      "residualUsd": 15950,
      "ratio": 1.3124
    },
    {
      "domain": "glam.me",
      "tld": "me",
      "actualUsd": 2700,
      "estimateUsd": 3360,
      "residualUsd": 660,
      "ratio": 1.2444
    },
    {
      "domain": "complyforce.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 5000,
      "estimateUsd": 5920,
      "residualUsd": 920,
      "ratio": 1.184
    },
    {
      "domain": "sumary.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9995,
      "estimateUsd": 11700,
      "residualUsd": 1705,
      "ratio": 1.1706
    },
    {
      "domain": "maruman.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9999,
      "estimateUsd": 11700,
      "residualUsd": 1701,
      "ratio": 1.1701
    },
    {
      "domain": "navels.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 3600,
      "estimateUsd": 4200,
      "residualUsd": 600,
      "ratio": 1.1667
    },
    {
      "domain": "higym.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 15599,
      "estimateUsd": 18000,
      "residualUsd": 2401,
      "ratio": 1.1539
    },
    {
      "domain": "richt.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 7900,
      "estimateUsd": 9050,
      "residualUsd": 1150,
      "ratio": 1.1456
    },
    {
      "domain": "slotspy.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 5000,
      "estimateUsd": 5640,
      "residualUsd": 640,
      "ratio": 1.128
    },
    {
      "domain": "noce.org",
      "tld": "org",
      "actualUsd": 4852,
      "estimateUsd": 5440,
      "residualUsd": 588,
      "ratio": 1.1212
    },
    {
      "domain": "gulag.xyz",
      "tld": "xyz",
      "actualUsd": 5000,
      "estimateUsd": 5600,
      "residualUsd": 600,
      "ratio": 1.12
    },
    {
      "domain": "usdc.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 59888,
      "estimateUsd": 66300,
      "residualUsd": 6412,
      "ratio": 1.1071
    },
    {
      "domain": "faithsong.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 4995,
      "estimateUsd": 5230,
      "residualUsd": 235,
      "ratio": 1.047
    },
    {
      "domain": "coded.net",
      "tld": "net",
      "actualUsd": 7520,
      "estimateUsd": 7830,
      "residualUsd": 310,
      "ratio": 1.0412
    },
    {
      "domain": "landseed.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 10000,
      "estimateUsd": 10000,
      "residualUsd": 0,
      "ratio": 1
    },
    {
      "domain": "chatbotai.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 15000,
      "estimateUsd": 14700,
      "residualUsd": -300,
      "ratio": 0.98
    },
    {
      "domain": "snoozefest.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 3688,
      "estimateUsd": 3510,
      "residualUsd": -178,
      "ratio": 0.9517
    },
    {
      "domain": "westmag.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 4588,
      "estimateUsd": 4320,
      "residualUsd": -268,
      "ratio": 0.9416
    },
    {
      "domain": "jorum.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 48000,
      "estimateUsd": 45100,
      "residualUsd": -2900,
      "ratio": 0.9396
    },
    {
      "domain": "micro.dev",
      "tld": "dev",
      "actualUsd": 19500,
      "estimateUsd": 18200,
      "residualUsd": -1300,
      "ratio": 0.9333
    },
    {
      "domain": "gx.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 1200000,
      "estimateUsd": 1110000,
      "residualUsd": -90000,
      "ratio": 0.925
    },
    {
      "domain": "tp.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 1200000,
      "estimateUsd": 1110000,
      "residualUsd": -90000,
      "ratio": 0.925
    },
    {
      "domain": "timy.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 18000,
      "estimateUsd": 16500,
      "residualUsd": -1500,
      "ratio": 0.9167
    },
    {
      "domain": "proof.in",
      "tld": "in",
      "actualUsd": 3188,
      "estimateUsd": 2780,
      "residualUsd": -408,
      "ratio": 0.872
    },
    {
      "domain": "escf.org",
      "tld": "org",
      "actualUsd": 6812,
      "estimateUsd": 5860,
      "residualUsd": -952,
      "ratio": 0.8602
    },
    {
      "domain": "wartburg.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 10000,
      "estimateUsd": 8310,
      "residualUsd": -1690,
      "ratio": 0.831
    },
    {
      "domain": "ace.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 205000,
      "estimateUsd": 159000,
      "residualUsd": -46000,
      "ratio": 0.7756
    },
    {
      "domain": "cryptostrike.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 4995,
      "estimateUsd": 3720,
      "residualUsd": -1275,
      "ratio": 0.7447
    },
    {
      "domain": "silkriver.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 6669,
      "estimateUsd": 4900,
      "residualUsd": -1769,
      "ratio": 0.7347
    },
    {
      "domain": "arepas.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 16500,
      "estimateUsd": 12100,
      "residualUsd": -4400,
      "ratio": 0.7333
    },
    {
      "domain": "mod.me",
      "tld": "me",
      "actualUsd": 5000,
      "estimateUsd": 3610,
      "residualUsd": -1390,
      "ratio": 0.722
    },
    {
      "domain": "svrn.net",
      "tld": "net",
      "actualUsd": 4995,
      "estimateUsd": 3510,
      "residualUsd": -1485,
      "ratio": 0.7027
    },
    {
      "domain": "hotelprice.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 11000,
      "estimateUsd": 7640,
      "residualUsd": -3360,
      "ratio": 0.6945
    },
    {
      "domain": "elitebet.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 9888,
      "estimateUsd": 6860,
      "residualUsd": -3028,
      "ratio": 0.6938
    },
    {
      "domain": "city.biz",
      "tld": "biz",
      "actualUsd": 4750,
      "estimateUsd": 3230,
      "residualUsd": -1520,
      "ratio": 0.68
    },
    {
      "domain": "logogpt.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 16000,
      "estimateUsd": 10800,
      "residualUsd": -5200,
      "ratio": 0.675
    },
    {
      "domain": "swf.org",
      "tld": "org",
      "actualUsd": 11008,
      "estimateUsd": 7390,
      "residualUsd": -3618,
      "ratio": 0.6713
    },
    {
      "domain": "maisons.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 11055,
      "estimateUsd": 7050,
      "residualUsd": -4005,
      "ratio": 0.6377
    },
    {
      "domain": "gcbl.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 8950,
      "estimateUsd": 5630,
      "residualUsd": -3320,
      "ratio": 0.6291
    },
    {
      "domain": "airleap.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 11495,
      "estimateUsd": 6920,
      "residualUsd": -4575,
      "ratio": 0.602
    },
    {
      "domain": "bizz.design",
      "tld": "design",
      "actualUsd": 3300,
      "estimateUsd": 1960,
      "residualUsd": -1340,
      "ratio": 0.5939
    },
    {
      "domain": "navona.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 15000,
      "estimateUsd": 8550,
      "residualUsd": -6450,
      "ratio": 0.57
    },
    {
      "domain": "agent.info",
      "tld": "info",
      "actualUsd": 6000,
      "estimateUsd": 3380,
      "residualUsd": -2620,
      "ratio": 0.5633
    },
    {
      "domain": "rural.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 550000,
      "estimateUsd": 306000,
      "residualUsd": -244000,
      "ratio": 0.5564
    },
    {
      "domain": "entire.co",
      "tld": "co",
      "actualUsd": 13888,
      "estimateUsd": 7560,
      "residualUsd": -6328,
      "ratio": 0.5444
    },
    {
      "domain": "cameocafe.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 9200,
      "estimateUsd": 4970,
      "residualUsd": -4230,
      "ratio": 0.5402
    },
    {
      "domain": "kilo.co",
      "tld": "co",
      "actualUsd": 26853,
      "estimateUsd": 14200,
      "residualUsd": -12653,
      "ratio": 0.5288
    },
    {
      "domain": "bestsecret.org",
      "tld": "org",
      "actualUsd": 3995,
      "estimateUsd": 1970,
      "residualUsd": -2025,
      "ratio": 0.4931
    },
    {
      "domain": "wildpaws.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 8000,
      "estimateUsd": 3870,
      "residualUsd": -4130,
      "ratio": 0.4838
    },
    {
      "domain": "law.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 350000,
      "estimateUsd": 167000,
      "residualUsd": -183000,
      "ratio": 0.4771
    },
    {
      "domain": "kenichi.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 10000,
      "estimateUsd": 4560,
      "residualUsd": -5440,
      "ratio": 0.456
    },
    {
      "domain": "oxea.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 27799,
      "estimateUsd": 12300,
      "residualUsd": -15499,
      "ratio": 0.4425
    },
    {
      "domain": "collectflow.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 6595,
      "estimateUsd": 2810,
      "residualUsd": -3785,
      "ratio": 0.4261
    },
    {
      "domain": "kgs.net",
      "tld": "net",
      "actualUsd": 12281,
      "estimateUsd": 5110,
      "residualUsd": -7171,
      "ratio": 0.4161
    },
    {
      "domain": "cleverly.io",
      "tld": "io",
      "actualUsd": 8999,
      "estimateUsd": 3480,
      "residualUsd": -5519,
      "ratio": 0.3867
    },
    {
      "domain": "threefold.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 14960,
      "estimateUsd": 5610,
      "residualUsd": -9350,
      "ratio": 0.375
    },
    {
      "domain": "spend.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 802500,
      "estimateUsd": 296000,
      "residualUsd": -506500,
      "ratio": 0.3688
    },
    {
      "domain": "autodor.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 15500,
      "estimateUsd": 5620,
      "residualUsd": -9880,
      "ratio": 0.3626
    },
    {
      "domain": "model.studio",
      "tld": "studio",
      "actualUsd": 24000,
      "estimateUsd": 8440,
      "residualUsd": -15560,
      "ratio": 0.3517
    },
    {
      "domain": "aito.tw",
      "tld": "tw",
      "actualUsd": 5000,
      "estimateUsd": 1730,
      "residualUsd": -3270,
      "ratio": 0.346
    },
    {
      "domain": "rush.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 300000,
      "estimateUsd": 103000,
      "residualUsd": -197000,
      "ratio": 0.3433
    },
    {
      "domain": "powerone.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 25000,
      "estimateUsd": 8450,
      "residualUsd": -16550,
      "ratio": 0.338
    },
    {
      "domain": "warpspeed.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 19812,
      "estimateUsd": 6500,
      "residualUsd": -13312,
      "ratio": 0.3281
    },
    {
      "domain": "eol.net",
      "tld": "net",
      "actualUsd": 16750,
      "estimateUsd": 5020,
      "residualUsd": -11730,
      "ratio": 0.2997
    },
    {
      "domain": "cadence.co.uk",
      "tld": "co.uk",
      "actualUsd": 9072,
      "estimateUsd": 2690,
      "residualUsd": -6382,
      "ratio": 0.2965
    },
    {
      "domain": "scoop.ai",
      "tld": "ai",
      "actualUsd": 75000,
      "estimateUsd": 21800,
      "residualUsd": -53200,
      "ratio": 0.2907
    },
    {
      "domain": "streamring.com",
      "tld": "com",
      "actualUsd": 20000,
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}